The cult of statistical significance
نویسنده
چکیده
This article takes issue with a recent book by Ziliak and McCloskey (2008) of the same title. Ziliak and McCloskey argue that statistical significance testing is a barrier rather than a booster for empirical research in economics and should therefore be abandoned altogether. The present article argues that this is good advice in some research areas but not in others. Taking all issues which have appeared so far of the German Economic Review and a recent epidemiological meta-analysis as examples, it shows that there has indeed been a lot of misleading work in the context of significance testing, and that at the same time many promising avenues for fruitfully employing statistical significance tests, disregarded by Ziliak and McCloskey, have not been used. Research supported by DFG under SFB 823. On purpose, the title is the same as that of a recent book by Ziliak and McCloskey (2008). I am grateful to Michael Bücker and Ronja Walter for excellent research assistance, and to Stephen Ziliak for comments on a book review in Statistical Papers on which this article is based.
منابع مشابه
The Cult of Statistical Significance - A Review
I present a review and extended discussion of The Cult of Statistical Significance: How the Standard Error Costs Us Jobs, Justice and Lives by Deirdre McCloskey and Stephen Ziliak, a work that raises important issues related to the practice of statistics and that has been widely commented upon. For this review, I draw upon several other works on statistics and my personal experiences as a teach...
متن کاملStatistical and Practical Significance of Articles at Sports Biomechanics Conferences
Background. The importance of using statistical approaches has increased and became necessary for researchers and specialists in sports biomechanics because they need more objective and accurate methods to increase knowledge. Objectives. Evaluate the reality of using practical significance in the articles published in scientific conferences in the biomechanical sport. Methods. One hundred twe...
متن کاملThe cult of statistical significance 1 by Walter Krämer
This article takes issue with a recent book by Ziliak and McCloskey (2008) of the same title. Ziliak and McCloskey argue that statistical significance testing is a barrier rather than a booster for empirical research in many fields and should therefore be abandoned altogether. The present article argues that this is good advice in some research areas but not in others. Taking all issues which h...
متن کاملGhazals of Sultanvald and the worldview of the Malamatie cult
Sultan valad, the eldest son of Maulana Jalal al-Din, one of the poles of Rumi's way, whose poems are the manifestation of various mystical, theological and theological ideas. He, who has benefited from the Mystics of great figures such as Shams Tabrizi and Borhan Mohaghegh Tirmezi, has a great mastery of the worldview of mystics before him; In such a way that by creating works while explaining...
متن کاملCorrecting Bias in Statistical Tests for Network Classifier Evaluation
Abstract. It is di cult to directly apply conventional significance tests to compare the performance of network classification models because network data instances are not independent and identically distributed. Recent work [6] has shown that paired t-tests applied to overlapping network samples will result in unacceptably high levels (e.g., up to 50%) of Type I error (i.e., the tests lead to...
متن کامل